Birmingham hosts Everton in a key mid-table clash in the English Premier League on Saturday.
The match presents Everton with an opportunity to leapfrog Birmingham on the Premier League table and consolidate its place in the top ten.
Birmingham vs. Everton Trends Analysis
Birmingham and Everton have faced one another six times in the last five seasons. Half of these matches ended in draws while Everton claimed two wins and Birmingham notched up a single win. Birmingam’s only win was achieved away from home, while one of Everton’s wins was achieved at St. Andrew’s Stadium.
The last meeting between the two clubs produced a 2-1 FA Cup victory for Birmingham at Goodison Park. The other match between the two clubs played this season, a Premier League fixture, produced a 1-1 draw.
Birmingham comes into today’s match having achieved three wins and two losses from its last five matches. The club has been very solid at home in recent months, and is unbeaten at St Andrew’s in 11 matches. During this time Birmingham has been strong enough to hold Man United, Man City, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur to draws.
Birmingham’s strike rate at home is unimpressive at just below a goal a match. However, the club’s defence at home is one of the strongest in the league, conceding around 0.5 goals per game.
Everton has similar stats to Birmingham, having taken three wins and two losses from its last five matches. The club’s away record in recent weeks leaves much to be desired, with Everton having lost three consecutive matches on the road, winning just two of its last ten away fixtures.
Everton is averaging over a goal a game away from home this season, but poor defence is allowing in over 1.5 goals per game played away from Goodison Park.
Birmingham vs. Everton Betting Tip
William Hill is offering the best price of 6/4 on Everton while Betfair offers best odds of 21/20 on Birmingham. The draw is priced 12/5 at Betfair.
Bookies don’t appear to have taken Birmingham’s excellent home record and Everton’s poor away record into account in their pricing for this match. We’d favour Birmingham to produce the result, but feel that a draw is quite likely given the form both teams have shown of late.
We’re therefore going to lay Everton at Betfair. As usual we’ll look to the under/over goals market for a juicy side bet and will take the 8/5 on offer at Bet365 for over 2.75 goals.
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