2012-13 Premier League Top Scorer Prediction

Posted on by editor

Picking the top goal scorer for the Premier League season is one of the toughest, and most rewarding, tasks for a punter. The prices on offer in this market means that even the best players offer each-way value – however, the unpredictability of the season makes it hard to nail your bet, as players can get injured or transfer to new clubs, costing you your stake.

There are therefore a couple of things to keep in mind in this betting market:

1. Always bet each-way: Ensure that you check the e/w box when placing your bet as most bookies pay out to 4th place on each-way bets. This means if your player is amongst the top 4 goalscorers at the end of the season, half your stake will be paid out at 1/4 of the odds.
2. Use a free bet: You won’t find a better market to use your free bets in, as the returns on a win are potentially huge and you won’t have your own bankroll tied up in a bet that will take 9 months to pay out. In addition, you won’t lose anything if your selection is transferred to another league or gets injured.

2012-13 Premeir League Top Scorer Favourites

1. Wayne Rooney
Wayne Rooney is the favourite to emerge as top scorer in the 2012-13 Premier League. Bookies have him priced under 10/1 in the early season, which doesn’t make a lot of sense considering the fact that he’s surrounded by fine strikers who’d put him on the bench if he enters a poor run of form. Rooney finished 3 goals behind Robin Van Persie in the goalscoring charts last season, and with Van Persie joining him in the forwards is going to have a rough time matching his own tally of 27 goals from last season.

2. Fernando Torres
Fernando Torres didn’t make the top 10 goalscorers in the Premiership last season, but seemed to find form in the Euro2012 tournament. His price is probably based on his Golden Boot at that tournament, which seems a bit premature as he hasn’t quite settled in at Chelsea. What’s more, Torres will take a few matches to work out an understanding with his new midfield. On the plus side the Spaniard won’t have to compete with Didier Drogba as first choice striker, and should get a high-quality midfield service as the season progresses. He’s worth an each-way shot.

3. Sergio Aguero
Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero is third in the betting in the 2012-13 Premier League top goalscorer betting markets. This is where Aguero finished in the goalscorer rankings last season, so it looks like a fair assessment of his potential this season. Aguero has certainly shown that he’s lost no momentum in the pre-season, and has pure quality backing him up in the rest of the squad. The only point counting against Aguero is the fact that City have so many quality strikers at their disposal, which means he’ll inevitably end up sharing in their goal pickings rather than dominating proceedings. Nevertheless he’s worth a solid each way-punt.

Other Contenders

It’s worth looking outside the top three for your top goalscorer bet, and we’d recommend placing four each-way punts on this market to maximise your chances of getting a payout. Players who we think deserve a better price than what they’ve been given include:

4. Robin Van Persie
Robin Van Persie was the top goalscorer last season, and is too classy to be kept off the top goalscorer charts. However, while he was star of the show at Arsenal, he’ll be competing with an attacking midfield and Wayne Rooney for goals at Manchester United. We can’t quite see Van Persie winning the golden boot again, but he’s certainly an each-way option.

5. Lukas Podolski
Lukas Podolski is Robin Van Persie’s replacement at Arsenal, and could benefit from the Dutchman’s absence from the side. Podolski is going to be called on to score the majority of Arsenal’s goals this season, and with 33 goals scored for FC Koln last season, there’s no reason to suspect he won’t do just that. He’s trading at top odds in the early season, so bag him before he starts climbing the goalscorer charts and his price drops.

6. Darren Bent
Darren Bent is an interesting option. He was one of the stars for an otherwise disappointing Aston Villa last season, bagging 18 goals. He’s reaching the prime of his career, and should be there or thereabouts in the goalscorer charts this season if he improves on his haul from 2011-12. As the main strike force for Villa, he’ll have all the game time he needs to rank amongst the top scorers.

2012-13 Premeir League Top Scorer Betting Tips

After reviewing all the options in the top scorer betting markets, we’re backing the following players each-way in order of preference:

1. Sergio Aguero
2. Fernando Torres
3. Lukas Podolski
4. Robin Van Persie

2012-13 Premeir League Top Scorer Betting Odds

European Leagues - Barclays Premier League -
Click red odds to strike a bet
G??mez, M8
van Persie, R8
Villa, D12
Klose, M14
Huntelaar, KJ16
Torres, F16
Balotelli, M20
Benzema, K16
Llorente, F16
Soldado, R14
Podolski, L20
Fabregas, C20
Matri, A-
M??ller, T25
Pazzini, G25
Negredo, ??-
Rooney, W20
Cassano, A-
Lewandowski, R33
Mata, J25
Rossi, G28
Sneijder, W33
Gilardino, A40
Giroud, O40
Gomis, B33
Robben, A40
Silva, D40
Almeida, H-
Bent, D50
Gameiro, K33
Ibrahimovic, Z50
Iniesta, A50
??zil, M50
R??my, L50
Reus, M-
Rib??ry, F33
Sturridge, D50
van der Vaart, R25
Welbeck, D40
Defoe, J-
Giovinco, S66
Kuyt, D50
Lampard, F-
Malouda, F-
Nasri, S-
Pavlyuchenko, R66
Pogrebnyak, P66
Quagliarella, F-
Shevchenko, A50
Walcott, T50
Young, A50
Arshavin, A66
Bendtner, N66
Ciss??, D80
Gerrard, S-
Jelavic, N50
Keane, R66
Klasnic, I-
Olic, I80
Baro??, M100
Carroll, A-
Crouch, P100
Doyle, K100
Dzagoev, A100
Elmander, J100
Gekas, Theofanis100
Gerndt, A100
G??tze, M-
Long, S100
Pirlo, A-
Rommedahl, D100
Zamora, B100
Brozek, Pawel125
Lafata, D125
Liberopoulos, N125
Obraniak, L125
Pekhart, T125
Krohn-Dehli, M150
Milevskiy, A150
Rezek, J150
Salpingidis, D150
Walters, J150
Toivonen, O200
Voronin, A200
Cox, S250
Samaras, G250

Today's Football Betting Specials

If your 1st goalscorer selection in any match covered by Betfred scores twice Betfred will double your odds, if he scores again you'll get 3x the payout!

Place a GBP/EUR20 bet on any Premier League match before kickoff and Paddy Power will give you GBP/EUR10 in free in-play bets for that match!

Ladbrokes will DOUBLE your odds on your first goalscorer selection in any English or Scottish football match if they score in the first 25 minutes!

Betfred will refund your losing scorecast bets on any football game up to £50 if the match ends in a 1-1 draw.

Place an ACCA of 5 or more bets and Paddy Power will give you a 20% bonus on your winnings if your ACCA wins!

Place an ACCA of 4 or more win-draw-win bets and Paddy Power will give you a 20% bonus on your winnings if your ACCA wins!

Place a football Acca of six or more selections at William Hill and if you miss by one get your stake refunded as a free bet.

If your first goalscorer football bet doesn't score the first goal, but scores the second goal, William Hill will refund your losing stake as a free bet.

Winning your bet but sense the game is turning? Don't stress, cash in your bet with William Hill's Cash In My Bet offer - valid for 90 minute and correct score markets!

If a football match finishes 0-0, William Hill will refund losing correct score and double result bets on that match as a free bet.

Place a 5-fold or more football ACCA on the Both Teams To Score market and if one leg lets you down BetVictor will give you a free bet up to £25!

Bet365 will refund your correct score, HT/FT bets or scorecast bets if the match you're betting on ends 0-0. Find out more now.

You can earn a bonus of up to 100% on accumulator bets placed at Bet365 on the top European football leagues. Bet now!

Get a 100% football bonus when you place your first bet from any mobile device or tablet at Bet365.

Is your selection winning, but starting to struggle? Just use Bet365's Cash Out offer to win your bet before you lose it.

If one leg of your 5+ football ACCA lets you down, Ladbrokes will refund your losing stake as a free bet!

Leave a Reply

Back to top

Get Your Free Betting Guide

Get your free Sports Betting Guide packed full of useful tips, strategies and advice to make your betting more profitable.